XRP Market Analysis: November 16, 2025
1. Price Action
XRP has experienced notable volatility in the last 24 hours. The digital asset reached a high of approximately $2.28 and a low of $2.16. At the time of this report, XRP is trading around $2.23. The coin experienced a modest decline, with percentage pullbacks reported between 1.34% and 3.5%.
Trading volume over the past 24 hours ranges from $3.04 billion to $3.68 billion, with some sources reporting a significant drop of 37.48%, indicating waning confidence among traders following recent volatility.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 24-Hour High | $2.28 |
| 24-Hour Low | $2.16 |
| Current Price | $2.23 |
| Percentage Change | 1.34% – 3.5% decline |
| Trading Volume (24h) | $3.04B – $3.68B |
| Volume Drop | Up to 37.48% |
2. Technical Indicators
XRP is trading below all key exponential moving averages (EMAs) including the 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs. The 50-day EMA is resistance near $2.50, while the 200-day EMA sits around $2.56, signaling bearish momentum. There are no imminent ‘golden cross’ or ‘death cross’ formations detected at this time.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) ranges from 40.05 to 41.55, placing XRP in neutral territory but leaning bearish. This suggests ongoing downward momentum without overselling yet. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative at approximately -0.07454, reinforcing bearish control below the zero line.
On-chain data indicates large holder activity with nearly 200 million XRP (valued above $400 million) moved to centralized exchanges over 48 hours, suggesting selling pressure. Whale transactions hit a four-month peak of 716 during this period. Contrarily, a report of 2.5 billion XRP moved in one day may reflect institutional flows or wallet restructuring rather than outright sell-off, as no corresponding surge in exchange inflows was observed. Additionally, a significant 20x leveraged short position worth $27.4 million has been opened, intensifying bearish pressure.
| Indicator | Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| 20, 50, 200-day EMAs | Price below all EMAs | Bearish trend |
| 50-day EMA Resistance | ~$2.50 | Resistance level |
| 200-day EMA Resistance | ~$2.56 | Resistance level |
| RSI | 40.05 – 41.55 | Neutral to bearish |
| MACD | -0.07454 | Bearish momentum |
| Whale XRP Movement | ~200 million XRP | Potential sell signal |
| Whale Transactions Peak | 716 in 48 hours | High selling pressure |
| Leveraged Short Position | $27.4 million (20x) | Added bearish pressure |
3. Support and Resistance
Immediate resistance lies in the $2.30 – $2.35 range. A stronger resistance cluster supported by multiple moving averages is found at $2.55 – $2.60.
Key support is established between $2.16 and $2.20, a zone tested repeatedly. Failure here may push price down to $2.10. Notably, $2.16 corresponds with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, underscoring its technical relevance as a critical support point.
| Level Type | Range / Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Immediate Resistance | $2.30 – $2.35 | First major bullish challenge |
| Strong Resistance | $2.55 – $2.60 | Multiple moving average cluster |
| Immediate Support | $2.16 – $2.20 | Critical support zone tested multiple times |
| Next Support | $2.10 | Secondary support level |
| Fibonacci Retracement Level | $2.16 | 0.382 retracement level |
4. Fundamental News
No significant partnerships or technological upgrades for XRP were announced within the last 24 hours. The market is still responding to the launch of the Canary Capital XRP ETF, which debuted strongly with $58 million in first-day volume. However, this volume reportedly dropped 55% on the second day, suggesting fading initial enthusiasm.
The broader cryptocurrency market is under pressure amid negative sentiment. Bitcoin’s price fell below the key $95,000 level, creating a risk-off environment affecting altcoins including XRP. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have turned negative, indicating investor caution.
5. Social Media and Tweet Activity
The social sentiment on XRP is predominantly bearish to neutral. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index plunged to “Extreme Fear” with a score of 10. Discussions largely revolve around concern over large whale transfers to exchanges.
The main narrative on social media concerns the “whale dump” of 200 million XRP, fueling speculation about further price declines. On-chain analyst Ali Martinez (@ali_charts) has been a prominent voice, widely cited for his analysis of whale movements, significantly shaping the bearish short-term outlook.
6. Short-Term Outlook & Forecast
The short-term outlook for XRP remains bearish. Heavy selling pressure from whales combined with negative technical indicators, declining ETF momentum, and a weak broader market environment point toward further downside risk over the next 24-48 hours. Holding the key support at $2.16 will be crucial.
Primary Bullish Scenario: Defending the $2.16 – $2.20 support zone coupled with stabilization in broader market sentiment could trigger a relief rally toward resistance at $2.30 – $2.35.
Primary Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold support at $2.16 could lead to a swift drop to the next support at $2.10, with potential for further sell-off towards psychological support at $2.00.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
